I seem to have plateaued. For 2013 and 2014, I predicted 18 of 24 Oscar winners correctly, a personal best since I’ve started wasting my life with this stuff. Can I do better this year?
Here are my predictions for the 2015 Academy Awards:
UPDATE: 18. Again. I started hot and Birdman ruined me.
You can get your ballot at The Hollywood Reporter.
The Oscars air on ABC/CTV Sunday, Feb. 22, at 8 p.m. with host Neil Patrick Harris. Yes, these are the 2015 Oscars.
Seventeen weeks after its theatrical release, Frozen is being released on DVD and Blu-Ray today. The Disney musical and Oscar winner for best animated film is still in the Top 10 at the North American box office, having grossed more than $2.1 million this past weekend.
The film is a return to the heyday of the Disney musical and is based on Hans Christian Andersen’s The Snow Queen. Frozen just reached the billion-dollar mark at the worldwide B.O., but if you are not one of the people who contributed to that monstrous haul, here’s a quick synopsis. Elsa and Anna (pronounced like Faris, not Wintour) are sisters and princesses. Elsa has magical powers but hasn’t learned to control them yet, so she’ll sometimes accidentally freeze stuff … like her younger sister Anna. After a close call, Elsa stays locked up in her room for years, away from her sister and any human contact. The two princesses are in their castle, closed off from their town, until Elsa’s Coronation Day. Anna’s thrilled; “for the first time in forever,” there’ll be people in their castle. But Elsa’s worried; she hasn’t quite mastered her magic yet and must keep the townspeople from finding out her secret. At the Coronation Ball, Anna tells Elsa some news that really sets off her older sister. After freezing the town perpetually, Elsa banishes herself to a faraway mountain, leaving her townspeople literally in the cold.
Not to gloat, but I did pretty well on my Oscar ballot last year.
18/24 correct predictions, which was a stark improvement from 2012 when I only predicted 13 of 24 winners correctly (and 15 of 24 in 2011).
I’m taking a few risks with my predictions this year, namely that American Hustle, which I loved, will be shut out. There are fewer categories this year that are total locks, but the Globes and all the Guild awards suggest it’s a three-way race for best picture, with Gravity, American Hustle and 12 Years a Slave battling out; on the acting front, Cate Blanchett and Jared Leto are the only sure winners tonight, with the supporting actress category especially contentious. Will it be newcomer Lupita Nyong’o for her harrowing work in 12 Years a Slave or American sweetheart/everyone’s BFF Jennifer Lawrence for her feisty turn in American Hustle?
THE VERDICT: I tied my 2013 score of 18. I thought Captain Phillips would win the adapted screenplay award, Her the production design Oscar, The Lone Ranger for makeup and hairstyling, The Act of Killing for documentary. Get a Horse! lost the animated short award to Mr. Hublot – the biggest surprise of the night, in my opinion – and the live-action short went to Denmark’s Helium, not France’s Just Before Losing Everything. Check out my updated ballot below with all the winners highlighted.
Update: It’s the end of the 85th Annual Academy Awards and I am proud to say (because I have very little going on in my life) that I got 18/24 right (75%).
For your amusement and my embarrassment.
Last year, I went 6 for 8 in the big categories and 13/24 overall. My goal is to just improve on that terrible record.
(You can click on the image to see a blown-up version)
Check out all the nominees at IMDb and fill out your own ballot here.
Will update on how well I did tomorrow night.